The Players Championship will be contested next week without its biggest draw. His short game has been tidy, gaining strokes around-the-green in five of his last seven starts while gaining strokes with his putter in seven straight. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. Torrey Pines South 5. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. ET, with world No. Our experts, as always, are in search of a little more value down the odds board, however. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. All Rights Reserved. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) I do worry about him coming in highly motivated after losing the No. Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). Noren has missed the last two cuts at elevated events by a total of three strokes. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. He added another 2.10 around-the-green and still lost 1.16 strokes from tee-to-green. As Joel Beall of Golf Digest noted, the video compilation show Worlds Funniest Animals also aired on Saturday drew more viewers than LIV Golf did. Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. In fact, the model is up over $8,300 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Rickie Fowler Time! McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. Pereira enters the week with three straight top-30 finishes including a top 20 at the Valero Texas Open. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Mayo: Emiliano Grillo (+270, DraftKings) The CJ Cup wasnt kind to Grillo, but now hes back at a happy place. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Trinity Forest Golf Club, 3. Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. Ben Griffin ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Matchup Results from the Bermuda Championship: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Rodgers (-125) over S.H. ), one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory. Powers: Thomas Detry Might as well attempt to cash in on this hot streak while its happening. Kim +17000Justin Suh +17000Kevin Yu +17000Byeong Hun An +17000Ben Taylor +17000Troy Merritt +19000Stewart Cink +19000Callum Tarren +19000Matthew NeSmith +19000Erik Van Rooyen +21000Satoshi Kodaira +21000Adam Long +21000Charley Hoffman +21000David Lingmerth +21000. Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. Cantlay/Schauffele (8.9 percent), 2. 2023 Sony Open First Round Leader Picks: Can J.T. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for Rounds 1 and 3: Best ball There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. The 29-year-old pulled out in the second round of the Sentry with a sore back but feels ready to return. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Kevin Tway ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 The American Express. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. The mid-range approaches aren't Schauffele's strength he was 185th on tour from 150-175 yards last season. WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Brendon Todd (45-1, DraftKings) Todd is a past winner here at Mayakoba and also has a further eighth-place and 11th-place finish to his name here. He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. Its not surprising then to see that he ranks fourth in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week. Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Honda Classic. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. All rights reserved. The 2023 calendar year hasnt started the way Wise would have liked, and hell enter this week coming off back-to-back missed cuts. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. Hes top 10 in driving accuracy over the past year, according to datagolf, and hes second in SG/approach in that span, as well. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. hes lined up to tackle a brutish backdrop, he demands our attention. See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Parlay Calculator, Copyright USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire 2023. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. He played here last year and posted a very impressive 22nd-place finish on his first attempt here at El Camaleon. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title while No. Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. The pair are former roommates and like the Gooch/Homa pair, will have great chemistry on the course. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. Course History Cheatsheet: A look at the entire fields history at the current weeks course. There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Russell Henley (33-1, BetRivers) His four most recent results include two MCs and a 35th- and 45th-place finish. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. We can argue about how hampered he is, but he has some of the best tournament history in the field. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. Hes posted two top-25 finishes in his past three starts and played well at Riviera for two rounds before fading to T-56. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! The ball striking? See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. The final round will be played on PGA West's Stadium Course after a 54-hole cut. Gdula: Russell Henley (+410, FanDuel) Henleys profile is a lot like Morikawas: hyper-accurate, elite irons, bad putting. The model also included J.T. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. Bay Hill rewards great approach players. All Rights Reserved. Thats a tough scene. NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. Weekly Cheatsheets: If you are already an Awesemo.com frequent visitor, you know about these quick hitter cheatsheets that give you some ideas on who to play each week. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Six straight made cuts for the Belgian, including four finishes of 12th or better. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Theres plenty more where that came from. Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. Hes gained strokes with his putter in 12 straight starts so if he can strike it well again, hell be in line for a great finish. Hes been wildly inconsistent in each facet of his game, and this price is too much to stomach compared to his peers. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Showdown Spotlight Articles: Released after the conclusion of play each day, this article is to give some ideas for Showdown contests, and updates to the daily action in case one missed it. Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. Released Wednesday. Hes played at Bay Hill each of the last three years and hasnt finished worse than T-20. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2022 Worldwide Technology Championship. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | A look at past performance charts from Golfstats site founder Sal Johnson shows golfers in the field this year who have finished top-10 multiple times over the last six years include: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Sungjae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Luke List, Keith Mitchell and Lucas Glover. Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. 1. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleepers: How to Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Corey Conners & Matt Kuchar, Join Stokastic Plus and Team with the #1 DFS Player, 2023 Honda Classic DFS Picks & Core Plays: Jhonattan Vegas Has Value, 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Targets: Christiaan Bezuidenhout the Ultimate Boom/Bust Play, PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Honda Classic: Shane Lowry One of Few High-End Options in Limited Field. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). On the other hand, Scheffler's putting can be a weakness, but he can make up for it with every other part of his game. Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official elevated status and a $20 million purse. Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. He tied for 25th in 2022, and he has been a different player since then. Heres what we know: Hes likely to be a great ball-striker, like he was at Riviera, where he gained 13 strokes in the ball-striking categories, and he has gained in 19 of his past 22 measured starts. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. F1 DFS is BACK! His last two starts have resulted in a T-11 and T-8, so clearly something is brewing for Day right now. Gehman: Brendon Todd (+500, Bet365) Todd has found magic with his irons twice already during this season. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units).